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Confusion matrix

Definition

A table counting how a classifier's predictions line up against the truth — correct and incorrect, broken down by which class was predicted and which was actual.

Intuition

A single accuracy number tells you how often a classifier is right. It does not tell you how it is wrong, and for most real problems that is the part that matters. Missing a fraud is not the same kind of mistake as flagging an honest transaction, even though both count identically against accuracy [2, Accuracy].

The confusion matrix keeps the mistakes separate. Every prediction lands in one cell, and the shape of the table tells you which error the model prefers to make [1, definition].

Almost every other classification metric on this site is a ratio computed from these four cells. Learn the table and the rest follow [2, Recall · False positive rate · Precision].

Formal definition

How it works

Where it's used

Why & when

Worked example

Pitfalls

Check yourself

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On the cheat sheet: Classification metrics →

Sources

  1. scikit-learn — sklearn.metrics.confusion_matrixdocs · retrieved 2026-08-30https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.metrics.confusion_matrix.html
  2. Google. Machine Learning Crash Course — Classification: accuracy, recall, precision, and related metricscourse · retrieved 2026-10-04https://developers.google.com/machine-learning/crash-course/classification/accuracy-precision-recall
  3. Google. Machine Learning Crash Course — Thresholds and the confusion matrixcourse · retrieved 2026-10-06https://developers.google.com/machine-learning/crash-course/classification/thresholding
  4. Manning, Raghavan, Schütze. Introduction to Information Retrieval (2008)bookhttps://nlp.stanford.edu/IR-book/html/htmledition/irbook.html

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