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difficulty 2/5

MAPE

Definition

The average error expressed as a percentage of the true value — scale-free and intuitive, and unusable when the target can approach zero.

Formula
MAPE=1n∑i=1n∣yi−y^i∣max⁡(ϵ,∣yi∣)\text{MAPE} = \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\frac{\left|y_i - \hat{y}_i\right|}{\max(\epsilon, |y_i|)}

Intuition

Being 10 units off matters differently depending on what you were predicting. On a true value of 20 it is a disaster; on 10,000 it is noise. MAE cannot tell those apart, because it treats every unit of error identically.

MAPE divides each error by the true value first, turning it into a relative error. The result is a percentage that means the same thing at any scale — and that division is also the source of every problem it has.

Formal definition

How it works

Where it's used

Why & when

Worked example

Pitfalls

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3 questions

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On the cheat sheet: Regression metrics and losses →

Sources

  1. scikit-learn — sklearn.metrics.mean_absolute_percentage_errordocs · retrieved 2026-08-30https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.metrics.mean_absolute_percentage_error.html
  2. scikit-learn User Guide — Metrics and scoringdocs · retrieved 2026-10-04https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/model_evaluation.html
  3. Hyndman, Athanasopoulos. Forecasting: Principles and Practice, 3rd ed.book · retrieved 2026-10-06https://otexts.com/fpp3/accuracy.html
  4. Petropoulos, Apiletti, Assimakopoulos et al.. Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)paper · retrieved 2026-10-06https://ar5iv.labs.arxiv.org/html/2012.03854

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