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difficulty 2/5

Polynomial regression

Definition

Fitting a curve by adding powers and products of the original features, then running ordinary linear regression on the expanded set — still a linear model, now with a curved shape.

Formula
y^=β0+β1x+β2x2+⋯+βdxd\hat{y} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 x + \beta_2 x^2 + \dots + \beta_d x^d

Intuition

Linear regression fits a straight line. Your data curves. The fix is smaller than it looks: you do not need a new algorithm, you need new columns.

Add x² as an extra feature and least squares will find a coefficient for it. The prediction is now a parabola in x, while remaining a weighted sum of features — which is the only sense in which "linear" was ever meant. The model is linear in its parameters, not in its picture [2, §5.2].

Formal definition

How it works

Where it's used

Why & when

Worked example

Pitfalls

Check yourself

3 questions

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On the cheat sheet: Linear models →

Sources

  1. scikit-learn — sklearn.preprocessing.PolynomialFeaturesdocs · retrieved 2026-08-31https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.preprocessing.PolynomialFeatures.html
  2. Goodfellow, Bengio, Courville. Deep Learning (2016)book · retrieved 2026-10-07https://www.deeplearningbook.org/
  3. scikit-learn — SplineTransformerdocs · retrieved 2026-10-07https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.preprocessing.SplineTransformer.html

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